Assessing toxicokinetic uncertainty and variability in risk prioritization

Wambaugh, JF; Wetmore, BA; Ring, CL; Nicolas, C; Pearce, RG; Honda, GS; Dinallo, R; Angus, D; Gilbert, J; Sierra, T; Badrinarayanan, A; Snodgrass, B; Brockman, A; Strock, C; Setzer, RW; Thomas, RS

HERO ID

7028353

Reference Type

Journal Article

Year

2019

Language

English

PMID

31532498

HERO ID 7028353
In Press No
Year 2019
Title Assessing toxicokinetic uncertainty and variability in risk prioritization
Authors Wambaugh, JF; Wetmore, BA; Ring, CL; Nicolas, C; Pearce, RG; Honda, GS; Dinallo, R; Angus, D; Gilbert, J; Sierra, T; Badrinarayanan, A; Snodgrass, B; Brockman, A; Strock, C; Setzer, RW; Thomas, RS
Journal Toxicological Sciences
Volume 172
Issue 2
Page Numbers 235-251
Abstract High(er) throughput toxicokinetics (HTTK) encompasses in vitro measures of key determinants of chemical toxicokinetics and reverse dosimetry approaches for in vitro-in vivo extrapolation (IVIVE). With HTTK, the bioactivity identified by any in vitro assay can be converted to human equivalent doses and compared with chemical intake estimates. Biological variability in HTTK has been previously considered, but the relative impact of measurement uncertainty has not. Bayesian methods were developed to provide chemical-specific uncertainty estimates for 2 in vitro toxicokinetic parameters: unbound fraction in plasma (fup) and intrinsic hepatic clearance (Clint). New experimental measurements of fup and Clint are reported for 418 and 467 chemicals, respectively. These data raise the HTTK chemical coverage of the ToxCast Phase I and II libraries to 57%. Although the standard protocol for Clint was followed, a revised protocol for fup measured unbound chemical at 10%, 30%, and 100% of physiologic plasma protein concentrations, allowing estimation of protein binding affinity. This protocol reduced the occurrence of chemicals with fup too low to measure from 44% to 9.1%. Uncertainty in fup was also reduced, with the median coefficient of variation dropping from 0.4 to 0.1. Monte Carlo simulation was used to propagate both measurement uncertainty and biological variability into IVIVE. The uncertainty propagation techniques used here also allow incorporation of other sources of uncertainty such as in silico predictors of HTTK parameters. These methods have the potential to inform risk-based prioritization based on the relationship between in vitro bioactivities and exposures.
Doi 10.1093/toxsci/kfz205
Pmid 31532498
Wosid WOS:000501738100002
Url https://doi.org/10.1093/toxsci/kfz205
Is Certified Translation No
Dupe Override No
Is Public Yes
Language Text English
Keyword toxicokinetics; high throughput; Bayesian modeling; uncertainty; variability; IVIVE